Live AZ Co

Property Analysis

1234 E Live AZ Co Dr

Mesa, AZ 85215
5 Bed · 3 Bath2,717 SqFtHeated PoolHot TubGame RoomArcade30.8% Rev/Price
STR PermittedTOT: 2.5%
$475K
Offer Price
$146K
Projected Revenue
19.5%
Cash-on-Cash

Deal Structure

Select Strategy
Property & Acquisition Details
Inputs
5 Bed / 3 Bath / 2,717 SqFt / Heated Pool
Investor Tax Profile
Before STR deductions
Marginal Rate
24%
Effective Rate
17.8%
Federal Tax
$62,134
This is for estimation purposes only and does not constitute tax advice. Consult your tax professional for personalized guidance. Need a great CPA who specializes in STR taxes? Reach out and I'll connect you with mine.
BRRRR Deal Structure
2,717 sqft = $87,487 total
1
Purchase
Bridge loan
2
Rehab
$97K construction
3
Refi
Month 4 · Cash-out
4
Furnish
Design & launch
5
Revenue
Month 6 · STR live
Revenue Assumptions
STR
Occupancy Assumptions
Annual Operating Expenses

Investment Summary

Year 1 Tax Savings
$62,134
Cost Seg + Depreciation
Effective Cash in Deal
$137,866
After tax recapture
Cash-on-Cash Return
19.5%
On $200K invested
Equity Created
$225K
$200K → $425K
5-Year Total Return
246.1%
Cash + Equity + Tax
Gross Revenue
$146,207
Year 1 projected
Net Operating Income
$81,025
55.4% margin · 17.1% cap rate
Annual Debt Service
$41,990
$3,499/mo
Net Cash Flow
$39,035
$3,253/mo
Est. Annual Occupancy
65.0%
228 nights booked
Avg Daily Rate
$643
4.5 bookings/mo
Revenue per Available Night
$418
RevPAR
Revenue-to-Price Ratio
30.8%
Bianchi Method: 20%+ strong

Deal Structure & Capital Stack

BRRRR
Sources & Uses
Capital
ItemAmount
Purchase Price$475,000
Bridge Loan (incl. $97K construction)$524,500
Down Payment (10%)$47,500
Est. Closing Costs$28,000
Holding Costs (pre-revenue)$37,000
Design / Furnish / Launch$87,500
Total Investor Capital$200,000
Cash-Out Refinance
Month 4
ItemAmount
Appraised Value (ARV)$700,000
New Loan (80% LTV)$560,000
Pay Off Bridge Loan($524,500)
Cash Back to Investor$35,500
Capital Still in Deal$164,500
DSCR
1.93x
Cap Rate
17.1%
CoC Return
19.5%

Operating Performance

Annual P&L (Stabilized)
Year 1
Revenue
$146K
$146,207
Expenses
$65K
$65,182
Debt Svc
$42K
$41,990
Cash Flow
$39K
$39,035
CategoryAnnualMonthly
Gross Revenue$146,207$12,184
Cleaning & Turnover($16,839)($1,403)
Electric($9,649)($804)
Pool Service($7,133)($594)
Water / Sewer($4,072)($339)
Landscaping($1,698)($142)
Management (~6%)($8,787)($732)
Insurance($4,200)($350)
Property Tax (0.70% eff. rate)($3,325)($277)
Supplies & Consumables($2,169)($181)
Other Operating($0)($0)
CapEx / Replacement Reserve (5.0%)($7,310)($609)
Net Operating Income$81,025$6,752
Debt Service($41,990)($3,499)
Net Cash Flow$39,035$3,253
Monthly Revenue Seasonality
AZ Market
$13K
Jan
$14K
Feb
$24K
Mar
$16K
Apr
$13K
May
$8K
Jun
$6K
Jul
$7K
Aug
$8K
Sep
$6K
Oct
$15K
Nov
$16K
Dec
Arizona STR seasonality: Q1 & Q4 strongest  ·  Summer trough Jun–Sep

Break-Even Analysis

Break-Even Occupancy
47.6%
Min occupancy to cover all costs + debt
Break-Even Revenue
$107,172
Annual revenue needed to break even
Safety Cushion
26.7%
Revenue exceeds break-even by this margin

Property Management Scenarios

Returns by Management Strategy
Scenarios
ScenarioPM CostNet Cash FlowCoCDSCR
Self-Managed (~6%)$8,772$39,04919.5%1.93x
10% Property Mgmt$14,621$33,20116.6%1.79x
20% Property Mgmt$29,241$18,5809.3%1.44x
Self-Managed
19.5%
$39,049/yr
10% PM
16.6%
$33,201/yr
20% PM
9.3%
$18,580/yr
Portfolio Comp Data
2025 Actuals
PropertyPurchasedRevenueMortgageNet IncomeCoC
Medina (5BR)$760K$158,060$64,394$35,99812.3%
Mesa Vista (5BR)$760K$134,354$58,066$18,2124.8%
5BR Average$760K$146,207$61,230$27,1058.6%
1234 E Live AZ Co Dr$475K$146K$42K$39K19.5%
The BRRRR Advantage
$200K cash + $97K construction from bridge. Refi month 4 returns cash; STR live month 6. $39K/yr stabilized cash flow. $225K forced equity created.

Market Comparable Data

AirDNA Market Comps
Third-Party
PropertyRevenueOccupancyADRRevPARBedsDistance
5BR/3BA — E Brown Rd, Mesa$138,00062%$610$37851.2 mi
5BR/3BA — N Val Vista Dr, Mesa$125,00058%$590$34252.8 mi
5BR/4BA — E University Dr, Mesa$152,00068%$612$41653.1 mi
Market Average$138,33363%$604$3795
1234 E Live AZ Co Dr$146,20765%$643$4185
Subject property projects 5.7% above market average revenue for comparable 5BR STRs within 3.1 miles.
Source: AirDNA

STR Tax Loophole & Cost Segregation

Tax Strategy
Cost Segregation Breakdown
Bonus Depreciation

With material participation (100+ hours/year) and a cost segregation study, bonus depreciation accelerates deductions against W-2 or active income in Year 1.

15%
25%
8%
12%
40%
Land (15%)
Personal Property (5-yr)
7-Year Property
15-Year Property
Residential (27.5-yr)
Component% of BasisYr 1 Deduction
Personal Property (5-yr)25%$121,550
7-Year Property8%$38,896
15-Year Property12%$58,344
Residential (27.5-yr)40%$7,072
Mortgage Interest$35,599
Operating Expenses$65,182
Total Yr 1 Deductions$326,643
Tax Savings @ 24% marginal$62,134
Tax Savings Impact
Year 1
Total Capital Invested
$200,000
Year 1 Tax Savings
-$62,134
Effective Cash in Deal After Tax Benefit
$137,866
31.1% of your capital returned via tax savings
How Your STR Deductions Save Taxes
10%
12%
22%
24%
Your AGI (before STR)$350,000
Filing StatusMarried Filing Jointly
Marginal Tax Bracket24%
Federal Tax (without STR)$62,134
Total STR Year 1 Deductions($326,643)
Adjusted AGI (after STR)$23,357
Federal Tax (with STR)$0
Year 1 Federal Tax Savings$62,134
Effective Savings Rate on Deductions19.0%
Your STR deductions push you from the 24% bracket down to the 10% bracket.
Important: At an AGI of $350,000 (Married Filing Jointly), your STR deductions save taxes at a blended rate of 19.0% — not the 37% maximum rate. The 37% bracket only applies to married joint filers with taxable income above $751,600.
The STR Tax Loophole
Short-term rentals with an average guest stay under 7 days are not considered rental activity by the IRS. If you materially participate (100+ hrs and more than anyone else), losses become non-passive and can offset W-2, business, and investment income — regardless of your income level. No $150K AGI limitation applies.
100% Bonus Depreciation — Permanently Restored
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (signed July 4, 2025) permanently restored 100% bonus depreciation for all qualifying 5, 7, and 15-year property acquired after January 19, 2025. All eligible short-life assets are fully deductible in Year 1. No phase-out. No sunset. Consult your CPA for your specific situation.
Tax calculations are estimates based on 2025/2026 federal brackets. Does not include state taxes, AMT, NIIT (3.8%), or phase-outs. This is not tax advice — consult your tax professional. Need a great CPA who specializes in STR taxes? Reach out and I'll connect you with mine.

5-Year Wealth Projection

Cumulative Returns Timeline
Projection
5-Year Cash Flow
$220,221
5-Year Tax Savings
$169,030
5-Year Total Wealth Created
$492,161
YearRevenueNOICash FlowInterestPrincipalBalanceTax BenefitProp. ValueEquityTotal Return
Year 1$146,207$81,025$39,035$35,599$6,391$553,609$62,134$494,000$-59,60960.1%
Year 2$150,593$83,455$41,465$35,178$6,812$546,797$26,200$513,760$-33,037103.8%
Year 3$155,111$85,959$43,969$34,730$7,260$539,538$26,545$534,310$-5,227149.3%
Year 4$159,764$88,538$46,548$34,252$7,738$531,800$26,896$555,683$23,883196.7%
Year 5$164,557$91,194$49,204$33,743$8,247$523,553$27,254$577,910$54,357246.1%
Year 1 mortgage interest ($35,599) is fully deductible as an operating expense for STR properties.

Sensitivity Analysis — What If Scenarios

Stress Test Comparison
Scenarios
MetricBear Case
-20% Revenue, +1% Rate, 2% Appreciation
Base Case
As Modeled
Bull Case
+15% Revenue, -0.5% Rate, 6% Appreciation
Custom
+0% Revenue, +0% Rate, 4% Appreciation
Revenue$116,966$146,207$168,138$146,207
NOI$64,820$81,025$93,178$81,025
Cash Flow$18,338$39,035$53,363$39,035
CoC Return9.2%19.5%26.7%19.5%
DSCR1.39x1.93x2.34x1.93x
5-Yr Property Value$524,438$577,910$635,657$577,910
5-Yr Cumulative CF$111,726$220,221$295,618$220,221
Custom Scenario Inputs
+0%
+0%
4.0%
Even in the bear case (20% revenue decline + 1% rate increase), this property maintains positive cash flow with a DSCR of 1.39x.

Exit Strategy & Disposition Analysis

Year 5 Exit Analysis
Disposition
Projected Exit Value
$577,910
Lower of appreciation vs cap rate
After-Tax Proceeds
$-47,927
Net of all selling costs & taxes
Full-Cycle IRR
24.9%
70.7% total ROI
ItemAmount
Projected Sale Price$577,910
Less: Selling Costs (6.5%)($37,564)
Less: Remaining Loan Balance($523,553)
Gross Proceeds$81,512
Less: Depreciation Recapture Tax (25%)($63,538)
Less: Capital Gains Tax (20%)($1,182)
After-Tax Sale Proceeds$-47,927
Plus: Cumulative Cash Flow (Years 1-5)$220,221
Plus: Cumulative Tax Savings (Years 1-5)$169,030
Total Full-Cycle Return$141,324
Full-Cycle ROI
70.7%
Internal Rate of Return
24.9%
Exit via 1031 exchange would defer all capital gains and depreciation recapture taxes.

Primary Home vs. STR Investment

Your Home Equity vs. Deploying Capital into an STR
Comparison

See how your current home equity compares to the wealth-building potential of an STR investment.

Primary Residence
Current Value$625,000
Mortgage Balance$420,000
Current Equity$205,000
5-Yr Value (3.5%)$742,304
5-Yr Equity Gain$117,304
Tax BenefitsMortgage Interest Only
Annual Cash Flow$0 (cost center)
STR Investment
Purchase Price$475,000
ARV / Market Value$700,000
Instant Equity$225,000
5-Yr Value (4%)$577,910
5-Yr Equity Gain$102,910
Tax BenefitsCost Seg + Depreciation
Annual Cash FlowGenerates $146K revenue